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ONE HUNDRED YEARS OF BRITISH SOLITUDE: MAGICAL THINKING ABOUT BREXIT AND SECURITY

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ONE HUNDRED YEARS OF  BRITISH SOLITUDE:  MAGICAL THINKING ABOUT BREXIT  AND SECURITY

Tomorrow’s world will be tougher for Britain, as US hegemony ebbs, rival global power centres re-emerge, and international institutions stall. Leaving the EU would hurt Britain’s ability to face these challenges, making it less secure and reducing its influence on global affairs. Britain gains key security benefits from EU membership. It is one of the top three countries shaping EU…

L'Europe qui protège: Conceiving the next European Union

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L'Europe qui protège: Conceiving the next European Union

by Mark Leonard Against the odds, Brexit and Trump have inspired a new mood of unity among Europeans. Rather than defending the world of yesterday, Europe’s leaders need to reinvent the EU’s relationships with the outside world and with its own citizens to give meaning to the idea Europe can protect its own. Europe has to abandon its hopes of creating the world in its image. Instead…

THE TRANSATLANTIC MEANING OF DONALD TRUMP: A US-EU POWER AUDIT

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THE TRANSATLANTIC MEANING  OF DONALD TRUMP:  A US-EU POWER AUDIT

by Jeremy Shapiro & Dina Pardijs New ECFR research into how Europeans have adapted to the new US administration reveals three ‘Trump effects’: the Regency Effect, the Messiah Effect, and the Antichrist Effect. The Regency Effect dominates. European leaders have largely decided to hope the ‘regents’ around Donald Trump will ensure the familiar transatlantic…

TO END A WAR: EUROPE’S ROLE IN BRINGING PEACE TO SYRIA

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TO END A WAR:  EUROPE’S ROLE IN  BRINGING PEACE TO SYRIA

The US and Russia are renewing efforts to advance zonal de-escalation in Syria. This approach offers the most viable way to decrease violence, promote some relief for the Syrian population, and address wider European interests. But they are neglecting the need for a political framework. European members of the International Syria Support Group (ISSG) should push for an approach that focuses on…

SO FAR FROM GOD, SO CLOSE TO RUSSIA: BELARUS AND THE ZAPAD MILITARY EXERCISES

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SO FAR FROM GOD,  SO CLOSE TO RUSSIA:  BELARUS AND THE ZAPAD  MILITARY EXERCISES

Fears that Russia may use Zapad 2017 as cover to carry out a hybrid operation in Belarus are overblown. Moscow has other levers with which it can coerce Minsk, and it neither needs nor is interested in another military adventure at the moment.  President Lukashenka realises that relying solely on Moscow is dangerous and wants instead to diversify his strategic options by inching closer to…

EUROPE AND ITS DISCONTENTS: POLAND’S COLLISION COURSE WITH THE EUROPEAN UNION

EUROPE AND ITS DISCONTENTS: POLAND’S COLLISION COURSE WITH  THE EUROPEAN UNION

by Piotr Buras Poland’s Law and Justice Party (PiS) has embarked on a process of ‘de-Europeanisation’ to give the country a greater sense of sovereignty and to push back against the socio-cultural model that it feels is imposed by western Europe. Poland’s efforts to distance itself from the EU are motivated by both ideological and economic concerns. Ideologically, PiS…

CONTROLLING CHAOS: HOW RUSSIA MANAGES ITS POLITICAL WAR IN EUROPE

CONTROLLING CHAOS:  HOW RUSSIA MANAGES ITS  POLITICAL WAR IN EUROPE

Russia carries out and encourages ‘active measures’ in Europe to destabilise and confuse governments and societies. But these are often opportunistic and shaped by local conditions. There is no grand strategy, beyond weakening the EU and NATO and creating a more conducive environment for itself. This involves a wide range of actors, from officials and the media, through military…

FELLOW TRAVELLERS: RUSSIA, ANTI-WESTERNISM, AND EUROPE’S POLITICAL PARTIES

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FELLOW TRAVELLERS:  RUSSIA, ANTI-WESTERNISM, AND  EUROPE’S POLITICAL PARTIES

There is a large amount of ideological overlap between some European political parties and the Russian government. Significantly, these include parties considered to be ‘mainstream’ – it is not just ‘fringe’ parties that share elements of the Kremlin’s world-view. European political parties range from those that are ‘hardcore’ in their…

BRINGING THE DESERT TOGETHER: HOW TO ADVANCE SAHEL-MAGHREB INTEGRATION

BRINGING THE DESERT  TOGETHER:  HOW TO ADVANCE  SAHEL-MAGHREB INTEGRATION

Global interest in the Sahel has expanded significantly in recent years. The growth of regional terrorism, the collapse of the Malian State in 2012, and the migration crisis after 2014 all mean that world must think about the Sahel. Yet despite the newfound attention to the region, regional and international efforts to resolve these crises remain inadequate. Region-wide strategies remain…

RETHINKING OSLO: HOW EUROPE CAN PROMOTE PEACE IN ISRAEL-PALESTINE

RETHINKING OSLO:  HOW EUROPE CAN PROMOTE PEACE  IN ISRAEL-PALESTINE

The Oslo Accords have provided Israel with effective political cover to maintain a prolonged occupation and undermine prospects for Palestinian self-determination through a two-state solution. They have also enabled Israel to externalise the political and financial costs of its unlawful practices. Unless structural flaws in the Oslo process are corrected, any new talks brokered by the US seem…

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